LRP-Lamb Market Report 22 July 2013

The LRP-Lamb price index ended last week at $114.51 per cwt. This is down $0.57 from last week’s index of $115.08.

LRP-Lamb insurance price forecasts expiring July 22, 2013 were as follows:

Date Offered Policy Expected Ending Value Actual % of Expected
4/22/2013 13-week $97.80 117.1%
3/4/2013 20-week $101.18 113.2%
1/21/2013 26-week $109.32 104.7%
10/22/2012 39-week $136.64 83.8%

The effective floor prices offered by LRP-Lamb coverage for policies expiring July 22, 2013 were as follows:

      Effective Floor Price (Coverage Price – Premium)
      (Premium per cwt.)
Date Offered Policy Expected Ending Value 95% 90% 85% 80%
4/22/2013 13-week $97.80 $90.615 $87.160 $82.857 $78.165
      (2.295) (0.860) (0.273) (0.075)
3/4/2013 20-week $101.18 92.477 89.329 85.276 80.671
      (3.643) (1.731) (0.724) (0.269)
1/21/2013 26-week $109.32 99.668 96.161 91.841 86.982
      (4.182) (2.229) (1.079) (0.478)
10/22/2012 39-week $136.64 122.507 118.488 113.54 107.889
      (7.303) (4.492) (2.60) (1.421)

Only the 39-week expiring insurance coverage will pay any indemnity and it will pay an indemnity at the top three coverage levels. The net effective floor prices for the various coverage levels of the expiring 39-week contracts issuing an indemnity ranged from $122.51 per cwt. to $113.54 per cwt. with the up-front premium costs ranging from $7.30 per cwt. to $2.60 per cwt. 

 LRP-Lamb price insurance coverage offered on 22 July 2013 is as follows:

Date Offered: 22 July 2013 Effective Floor Price (Coverage Price – Premium)
      (Premium per cwt.)
Policy End Date Expected Ending Value 95% 90% 85% 80%
13-week 10/21/2013 $100.18 $92.819 $89.279 $84.871 $80.063
      (2.351) (0.881) (0.279) (0.077)
20-week 12/9/2013 $94.66 86.522 83.571 79.783 75.479
      (3.408) (1.619) (0.677) (0.251)
26-week 1/20/2014 $94.18 85.867 82.84 79.121 74.928
      (3.603) (1.92) (0.929) (0.412)
39-week 4/21/2014 $127.01 113.872 110.134 105.543 100.289
      (6.788) (4.176) (2.417) (1.321)

 

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